Fausto Tabacco vs Federico ArnaboldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fausto Tabacco and Federico Arnaboldi have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at San Marino in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tabacco has taken 2 sets to Arnaboldi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Federico Arnaboldi won at M15 Bergamo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabacco | Arnaboldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fausto Tabacco | Federico Arnaboldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 26/39 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 20/62 | 32% | 19/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabacco 0, Arnaboldi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabacco
⚔️ The Gladiator
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 27, 2026
M15 Bergamo
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 30, 2023
San Marino
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabacco | Arnaboldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fausto Tabacco | Federico Arnaboldi | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabacco | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.35 |
| ROI % | +42.8% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | +8.99u | -1.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabacco | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tabacco has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Arnaboldi's 50%).
| Opponent | Tabacco | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | W 36 64 62 | L 63 36 16 |
| Giorgio Tabacco | W 46 60 119 | W 62 61 |
| Gianmarco Ferrari | W 62 60 | W 75 76 |
| Petr Nesterov | W 64 36 64 | L 46 46 |
| Giorgio Pistoia | W 62 62 | W 61 61 |
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | W 63 62 | W 63 63 |
| Joao Domingues | L 62 16 36 | L 36 16 |
| Alexander Donski | L 64 36 46 | L 36 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniele Rapagnetta
Milan challenger
Jun 29
Francesco Forti
Milan challenger
Jun 28
Federico Arnaboldi
M15 Bergamo · Semifinals
Jun 27
Matthew William Donald
M15 Bergamo · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Federico Iannaccone
M15 Bergamo · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Leonardo Malgaroli
M15 Bergamo · 1st Round
Jun 25
Leonardo Malgaroli
Futures 2026
Jun 24
Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Milano · Final
Jun 20
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sandro Kopp
M25 Bolzano · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Giovanni Oradini
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Peter Buldorini
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniel Salazar
Cordenons challenger
Jul 12
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · Final
Jun 28
Fausto Tabacco
M15 Bergamo · Semifinals
Jun 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–62 matches
| Metric | Tabacco | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabacco | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabacco | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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