Fares Zakaria vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fares Zakaria and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2026; Fares Zakaria leads 1–0. Across all meetings Zakaria has taken 2 sets to Castagnola's 0. Their most recent meeting: Fares Zakaria won at M25 Sharm ElSheikh (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zakaria | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fares Zakaria | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 23/70 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 22/36 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 17/33 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 28/41 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zakaria 1, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zakaria
👑 The Complete Package
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 174 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fares Zakaria.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
M25 Sharm ElSheikh
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zakaria | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fares Zakaria | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 12/22 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 5/22 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zakaria | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–9 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -16.5% | -20.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.47u | -3.32u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zakaria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Castagnola's 20%).
| Opponent | Zakaria | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Strombachs | L 76 26 57 | L 26 64 36 |
| Sebastian Sorger | L 67 36 | L 26 26 |
| Maximilian Figl | W 63 63 | W 62 46 63 |
| Lenn Luemkemann | W 16 61 76 | L 36 36 |
| Niklas Schell | W 64 64 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Paul Jubb
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Final
Oct 4
Karan Singh
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Semifinals
Oct 3
Romain Faucon
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Gawad El Feky
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Karim Ibrahim
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Robert Strombachs
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Luca Castagnola
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–70 matches
| Metric | Zakaria | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 45% |
| Sets won | 56% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zakaria | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zakaria | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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