Fajing Sun vs Mees RottgeringPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ณFajing Sun
#318 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2
๐ณ๐ฑMees Rottgering
#389 ยท 19 yrs ยท L
3Fajing Sun and Mees Rottgering have met 1 time since 2026; Mees Rottgering leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Sun has taken 0 sets to Rottgering's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mees Rottgering won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sun | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fajing Sun | Mees Rottgering | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 21/30 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 11/30 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 30% | 13/44 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 6/18 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 73% | 19/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sun 0, Rottgering 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sun
๐น Frontrunner
Rottgering
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐น Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fajing Sun.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sun | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fajing Sun | Mees Rottgering | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sun | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ7 | 10โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -55.7% | +3.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.57u | +0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sun | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,119 mi ยท 3,410 km | 423 mi ยท 681 km |
| Route | TUR โ KAZ | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Sun and Rottgering posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Sun | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Ozan Baris | L 46 36 | L 36 26 |
| Aaron Gabet | W 62 61 | W 61 61 |
| Braden Shick | L 16 26 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Semen Pankin
Astana Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 12
Zangar Nurlanuly
Astana Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Semen Pankin
Istanbul Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Mees Rottgering
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Ozan Baris
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Tomas Machac
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Jan Choinski
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Brownsburg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Henry Searle
Brownsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Fajing Sun
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Ozan Baris
M25 Louisville ยท Final
Jul 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 44โ60 matches
| Metric | Sun | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 66% |
| Sets won | 51% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sun | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sun | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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