Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Roman Andres BurruchagaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทFacundo Diaz Acosta
#82 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
4wTitle3 meetings ยท sets 3โ5

๐ฆ๐ทRoman Andres Burruchaga
#59 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
4Facundo Diaz Acosta and Roman Andres Burruchaga have met 3 times since 2022; Roman Andres Burruchaga leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Sao Leopoldo in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Burruchaga leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 3 sets to Burruchaga's 5. Their most recent meeting: Roman Andres Burruchaga won at Curitiba Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Andres Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 67% | 31/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 40% | 29/72 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 17% | 4/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 84% | 42/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 62% | 31/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 0, Andres Burruchaga 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Burruchaga
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
โ๏ธ The Gladiator vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Nov 17, 2023
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 17, 2022
Sao Leopoldo
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18โ5 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 3.57 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | -17.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | -1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 1,959 mi ยท 3,153 km |
| Route | SMR | CAN โ USA โ MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Burruchaga has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Acosta's 60%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Vilius Gaubas | W 62 63 | W 62 61 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 62 46 61 | W 63 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 75 46 67 | W 62 26 63 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 63 46 26 | W 61 61 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 67 76 76 | W 61 64 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 26 26 | W 16 76 64 |
| Hynek Barton | W 63 75 | L 75 46 57 |
| Learner Tien | L 57 64 63 67 36 | W 75 64 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 76 64 | L 62 67 36 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 46 64 76 | W 16 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stan Wawrinka
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Semifinals
Jul 17
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 75โ81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 63% |
| Sets won | 65% | 60% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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