Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Roman Andres BurruchagaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทFacundo Diaz Acosta
#69 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
Title3 meetings ยท sets 3โ5

๐ฆ๐ทRoman Andres Burruchaga
#62 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
6wFacundo Diaz Acosta and Roman Andres Burruchaga have met 3 times since 2022; Roman Andres Burruchaga leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Sao Leopoldo in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Burruchaga leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 3 sets to Burruchaga's 5. Their most recent meeting: Roman Andres Burruchaga won at Curitiba Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Andres Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 34/54 | 65% | 26/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 28/75 | 43% | 29/67 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 27/58 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 15/28 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 40/46 | 80% | 36/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 34/46 | 58% | 26/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 0, Andres Burruchaga 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
๐ The Complete Package
Burruchaga
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Diaz Acosta.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Nov 17, 2023
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 17, 2022
Sao Leopoldo
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ4 | 3โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | -12.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | -0.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 6,623 mi ยท 10,659 km | โ |
| Route | ESP โ POL โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Burruchaga has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Acosta's 40%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 67 26 | W 61 46 63 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 62 46 61 | W 63 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 75 46 67 | W 62 26 63 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 63 46 26 | W 61 61 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 67 76 76 | W 61 64 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 26 26 | W 16 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 57 64 63 67 36 | W 75 64 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 76 64 | L 62 67 36 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 46 64 76 | W 16 64 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 67 46 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniel Elahi Galan
Szczecin Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger ยท Final
Sep 13
Jaume Munar
Seville Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Sebastian Ofner
Seville Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alejandro Moro Canas
Seville Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Pol Martin Tiffon
Seville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 7
Quentin Halys
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stan Wawrinka
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Semifinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 71โ78 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 58% |
| Sets won | 64% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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