Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#82 · 25 yrs · L
4wTitle1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Niels McDonald
#490 · 18 yrs · R
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Niels McDonald have met 1 time since 2026; Facundo Diaz Acosta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 0. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at Braunschweig Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 35% | 17/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
McDonald
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Diaz Acosta.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Niels McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 93% | 26/28 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 32% | 9/28 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 14% | 4/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | +24.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | +5.94u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 545 mi · 877 km |
| Route | SMR | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Acosta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs McDonald's 40%).
| Opponent | Acosta | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 46 64 76 | W 46 63 64 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | L 63 46 26 | L 36 67 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | W 60 62 | L 57 16 |
| Michele Ribecai | W 26 61 64 | W 75 67 61 |
| Hynek Barton | W 63 75 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mika Petkovic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Jerome Kym
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jurij Rodionov
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 53% |
| Sets won | 65% | 51% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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