Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Mili PoljicakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทFacundo Diaz Acosta
#82 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
4wTitle1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ญ๐ทMili Poljicak
#263 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
3Facundo Diaz Acosta and Mili Poljicak have met 1 time since 2026; Facundo Diaz Acosta leads 1โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Acosta leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 2 sets to Poljicak's 0. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at San Marino Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Poljicak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Mili Poljicak | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 55% | 23/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 71% | 27/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Poljicak 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Poljicak
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 219 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mili Poljicak.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 2, 2026
San Marino Challenger
C Clay ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Poljicak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Mili Poljicak | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18โ5 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | -15.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | -2.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | SMR | SMR โ SLO โ GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Acosta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Poljicak's 75%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo Varillas | W 63 76 | W 75 64 |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | W 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Lukas Neumayer | W 64 63 | L 46 64 46 |
| Henri Squire | W 46 75 76 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Schoenhaus
Augsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Sebastian Dominko
M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Vaal Urankar
M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Facundo Diaz Acosta
San Marino Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nikoloz Basilashvili
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Enrico Dalla Valle
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 66% |
| Sets won | 65% | 62% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Poljicak |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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