Evan Zhu vs Koki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈEvan Zhu
#479 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 2β0
π―π΅Koki Matsuda
#481 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
4Evan Zhu and Koki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Evan Zhu leads 1β0. Across all meetings Zhu has taken 2 sets to Matsuda's 0. Their most recent meeting: Evan Zhu won at Wuning 3 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zhu | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Evan Zhu | Koki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 36/53 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 13/36 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 30/89 | 31% | 21/68 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 24/39 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 27/42 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 11/26 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 47/55 | 85% | 34/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 36/55 | 75% | 30/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zhu 1, Matsuda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zhu
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matsuda
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Koki Matsuda.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 6, 2026
Wuning 3 Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zhu | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Evan Zhu | Koki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 59% | 13/22 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 6/22 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Zhu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20β9 | 9β9 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | +19.4% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.62u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zhu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,415 mi Β· 11,934 km | 1,420 mi Β· 2,285 km |
| Route | USA β CHN | VIE β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Zhu and Matsuda posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Zhu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hanyi Liu | W 63 64 | W 62 64 |
| Philip Sekulic | L 57 36 | L 26 64 57 |
| Jake Delaney | W 26 64 62 | W 76 76 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 75 36 06 | L 36 46 |
| Paul Inchauspe | W 76 46 63 | W 64 46 64 |
| Colin Sinclair | W 75 67 64 | W 63 63 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | W 76 36 63 | W 62 76 |
| Shinji Hazawa | L 26 46 | W 62 64 |
| Sora Fukuda | W 75 67 63 | L 16 26 |
| Markus Malaszszak | W 57 75 11 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alibek Kachmazov
Wuning 3 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 8
Koki Matsuda
Wuning 3 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 6
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Hanyi Liu
Jingshan Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Aleksandar Vukic
Jingshan Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Zihao Xia
Jingshan Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Henry Searle
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Alafia Ayeni
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Evan Zhu
Wuning 3 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 6
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 11
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 8
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Zhangjiagang Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jake Delaney
Zhangjiagang Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Fanming Meng
Zhangjiagang Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 69β90 matches
| Metric | Zhu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 61% |
| Sets won | 57% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zhu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zhu | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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