Eva Vedder vs Lisa PigatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W75 Quinta do Lago
- Level
- ITF W75
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 4 · 5:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.49 or shorter, Lisa Pigato has won 32 of 36 (89%). The price implied 70%, so Lisa Pigato has beaten it by 19 points.
At 2.50 or longer, Eva Vedder has won 4 of 18 (22%). The price implied 32%, so Eva Vedder has fallen 10 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Eva Vedder faces Lisa Pigato in the final of the W75 Quinta do Lago on October 4, a hard court tournament where neither player has met before. Vedder, ranked 201st, has won four straight matches to reach the final after five appearances in 14 days. Pigato sits 87 places higher at 114th and arrives with nine consecutive victories, also playing five matches over the same period.
Vedder and Pigato share three common opponents on recent form: both lost to Charo Esquiva Banuls and Jennifer Ruggeri, though Vedder fell to Maria Lourdes Carle where Pigato defeated her. Both players beat Samira De Stefano. On hard courts, Pigato has posted a 16-4 record; Vedder has compiled 13-7 over the same sample.
Both players construct points across the court with rounded skill sets rather than relying on any single weapon. Vedder has won half her matches over her last 10 outings while Pigato has won nine of her past 10. The final tests whether Vedder can sustain her current momentum against an opponent in peak form, or whether Pigato's consistency on hard courts proves decisive.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vedder | Pigato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Vedder | Lisa Pigato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 33/45 | 72% | 39/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 20/72 | 30% | 22/73 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 24/47 | 59% | 32/54 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 38/46 | 93% | 50/54 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 33/46 | 72% | 39/54 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vedder
👑 The Complete Package
Pigato
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Eva Vedder and Lisa Pigato are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,466 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Vedder and Pigato have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vedder | Pigato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Vedder | Lisa Pigato | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vedder | Pigato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 10–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | +14.4% | +64.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.60u | +7.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vedder | Pigato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → DEN → KAZ → ECU | GEO → ECU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pigato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Vedder's 50%).
| Opponent | Vedder | Pigato |
|---|---|---|
| Charo Esquiva Banuls | L 62 26 46 | W 75 60 |
| Jennifer Ruggeri | L 75 67 16 | W 75 64 |
| Maria Lourdes Carle | L 16 26 | W 64 63 |
| Samira De Stefano | W 62 64 | W 62 62 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | L 16 26 | L 26 57 |
| Chelsea Fontenel | W 62 75 | W 76 63 |
| Elena Ruxandra Bertea | W 64 76 | W 60 31 |
| Martha Matoula | W 64 63 | W 61 60 |
| Polina Kudermetova | L 36 26 | W 60 26 61 |
| Aran Teixido Garcia | W 64 76 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Margaux Rouvroy
W75 Quinta do Lago · Semifinals
Oct 3
Francisca Jorge
W75 Quinta do Lago · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Harmony Tan
W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Chris Werner
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 30
Charo Esquiva Banuls
W50 Yecla · 1st Round
Sep 23
Jennifer Ruggeri
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maria Lourdes Carle
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Samira De Stefano
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Katie Swan
W75 Quinta do Lago · Semifinals
Oct 3
Polona Hercog
W75 Quinta do Lago · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Adrienn Nagy
W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jasmijn Gimbrere
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 30
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · Final
Sep 20
Jeline Vandromme
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · Semifinals
Sep 19
Susan Bandecchi
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 73–74 matches
| Metric | Vedder | Pigato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 73% |
| Sets won | 60% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |