Head-to-Head

Eva Vedder vs Francesca CurmiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇳🇱Eva Vedder

#201 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

3Beat 3 favorites

0–0

First meeting

🇲🇹Francesca Curmi

#236 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed

Upcoming match

Tournament: Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca
Level: WTA 125
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Clay
Date & time: October 12 · 5:30 AM ET

Book odds

Eva Vedder2.922.36

Francesca Curmi1.381.55

Set spread

Vedder -1.53.62

Curmi +1.51.24

Game spread

Vedder +2.51.90

Curmi -2.51.81

VedderClay-court specialist (73%)CurmiClay-court specialist (72%)

Record at prices like this

Eva Vedder2.36implies 34%won 33%−1 pts

At 2.36 or longer, Eva Vedder has won 7 of 21 (33%). That is level with the 34% the price implied.

Francesca Curmi1.55implies 67%won 84%+17 pts

At 1.55 or shorter, Francesca Curmi has won 21 of 25 (84%). The price implied 67%, so Francesca Curmi has beaten it by 17 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Eva Vedder and Francesca Curmi meet next at the Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca on October 12 on clay.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Vedder	Curmi
Indicator	Eva Vedder		Francesca Curmi
Wins in straight sets	73%	33/45	79%	34/43
Wins a set when losing	32%	9/28	16%	4/25
Goes to a deciding set	29%	21/73	19%	13/68
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	51%	24/47	59%	26/44
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	53%	10/19	29%	5/17
Tiebreak sets won	56%	9/16	50%	6/12
Wins after taking set 1	81%	38/47	93%	37/40
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	70%	33/47	85%	34/40

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Vedder

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Curmi

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,116 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Eva Vedder.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Vedder and Curmi have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Vedder	Curmi
Outcome	Eva Vedder		Francesca Curmi
1 or more	77%	10/13	38%	6/16
3 or more	23%	3/13	0%	0/16
5 or more	8%	1/13	0%	0/16
10 or more	0%	0/13	0%	0/16
15 or more	0%	0/13	0%	0/16
20 or more	0%	0/13	0%	0/16

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Vedder	Curmi
W-L	7–7	9–6
Avg odds	1.98	1.65
ROI %	-11.6%	-17.5%
Units P/L	-1.63u	-2.62u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Vedder	Curmi
Countries	4	3
Events	4	3
Matches	7	5
Distance	—	—
Route	DEN → KAZ → ECU → ESP	DEN → GER → ESP

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Vedder has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Curmi's 20%).

Opponent	Vedder	Curmi
Francisca Jorge	W 64 36 63	W 61 61
Nuria Brancaccio	L 16 26	L 46 57
Sohyun Park	L 46 06	L 46 57
Martina Trevisan	W 75 63	L 16 57
Katerina Tsygourova	W 46 76 62	W 57 63 62
Mona Barthel	L 64 36 06	L 36 36
Alena Kovackova	W 76 75	L 36 46
Elena Ruxandra Bertea	W 64 76	L 76 36 57
Cagla Buyukakcay	W 75 62	L 64 46 16
Julie Struplova	L 16 36	L 36 36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Vedder

LWWWWLLL

Lisa Pigato

W75 Quinta do Lago · Final

Oct 4

Margaux Rouvroy

W75 Quinta do Lago · Semifinals

Oct 3

Francisca Jorge

W75 Quinta do Lago · Quarterfinals

Oct 2

Harmony Tan

W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round

Oct 1

Chris Werner

W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round

76⁵

Sep 30

Charo Esquiva Banuls

W50 Yecla · 1st Round

Sep 23

Jennifer Ruggeri

BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round

6⁹7

Sep 15

Maria Lourdes Carle

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round

Sep 10

Curmi

LWWLWLLW

Alisa Oktiabreva

W50 Heraklion · Quarterfinals

6⁴7

Oct 9

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

W50 Heraklion · 3rd Round

Oct 8

Maayan Laron

W50 Heraklion · 2nd Round

Oct 6

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 2nd Round

76⁶

Sep 16

Veronika Erjavec

BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round

Sep 14

Nuria Brancaccio

Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round

Sep 7

Berfu Cengiz

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · Semifinals

Aug 1

Emma Lene

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · Quarterfinals

Jul 31

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–74 matches

Metric	Vedder	Curmi
Matches won	62%	63%
Sets won	60%	60%
Games won	53%	56%

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