Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Paula CembranosPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Paula Cembranos have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Cembranos leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 1 sets to Cembranos's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Cembranos won at W50 Yecla (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lopez Alcaraz | Cembranos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Esther Lopez Alcaraz | Paula Cembranos | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 13/23 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 18/40 | 33% | 17/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 13/25 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lopez Alcaraz 0, Cembranos 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cembranos
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 20, 2026
W50 Yecla
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Cembranos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Esther Lopez Alcaraz | Paula Cembranos | ||
| 1 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Cembranos |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.13 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -45.9% | -10.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.05u | -1.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Cembranos |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → POR | KAZ → ECU → TUN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Alcaraz and Cembranos posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Cembranos |
|---|---|---|
| Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | L 46 46 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W35 Seville · 1st Round
Oct 6
Maria Trujillo Garnica
W35 Seville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Patricia Rodriguez Carretero
W35 Seville · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Paula Cembranos
W50 Yecla · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 9
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Badalona · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Tian Jialin
W15 Badalona · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sophie Greiner
W15 Badalona · 1st Round
Sep 2
Kateryna Lazarenko
W35 Lagos · 1st Round
Oct 6
Jasmijn Gimbrere
W75 Quinta do Lago · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W50 Yecla · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
W50 Yecla · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Seda Baslilar
W75 Le Neubourg · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Charlotte Maurey
W75 Le Neubourg · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Malaika Rapolu
W50 Evora · 1st Round
Sep 8
Zoziya Kardava
W50 Evora · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–51 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Cembranos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Cembranos |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Cembranos |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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