Erika Sema vs Mckenna SchaefbauerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Erika Sema
#553 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Mckenna Schaefbauer
Unranked · 22 yrs
3Erika Sema and Mckenna Schaefbauer have met 1 time since 2026; Erika Sema leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sema has taken 2 sets to Schaefbauer's 0. Their most recent meeting: Erika Sema won at W75 Lexington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sema | Schaefbauer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Erika Sema | Mckenna Schaefbauer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 21/23 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 12/49 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 13/20 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sema 1, Schaefbauer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sema
🪃 Counterpuncher
Schaefbauer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mckenna Schaefbauer.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
W75 Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sema | Schaefbauer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Erika Sema | Mckenna Schaefbauer | ||
| 1 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 5.00 |
| ROI % | -61.3% | +106.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.29u | +10.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Schaefbauer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sema's 0%).
| Opponent | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| Patcharin Cheapchadej | L 46 36 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Jia Jing Lu
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Eunhye Lee
W35 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sara Saito
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mckenna Schaefbauer
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kelly Keller
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 23
Madison Brengle
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Isabella Marton
W50 Lexington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Nalah Kaler
W50 Lexington · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mayu Crossley
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Erika Sema
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Georgia Kulevich
W75 Lexington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Katherine Hui
W75 Lexington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Angelina Voloshchuk
W35 Santa Fe · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–50 matches
| Metric | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 50% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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