Erika Sema vs Mckenna SchaefbauerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Erika Sema
#504 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Mckenna Schaefbauer
Unranked · 22 yrs
5wErika Sema and Mckenna Schaefbauer have met 1 time since 2026; Erika Sema leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sema has taken 2 sets to Schaefbauer's 0. Their most recent meeting: Erika Sema won at W75 Lexington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sema | Schaefbauer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Erika Sema | Mckenna Schaefbauer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 92% | 23/25 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 10/48 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 14/20 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sema 1, Schaefbauer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sema
🪃 Counterpuncher
Schaefbauer
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mckenna Schaefbauer.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
W75 Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sema | Schaefbauer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Erika Sema | Mckenna Schaefbauer | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 5.23 |
| ROI % | -31.2% | +170.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.74u | +10.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eunhye Lee
W35 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sara Saito
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mckenna Schaefbauer
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kelly Keller
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 23
Cadence Brace
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Avery Alexander
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Erika Sema
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Angelina Voloshchuk
W35 Santa Fe · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mary Lewis
W35 Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jaedan Brown
Columbus ITF
Jul 7
Serafima Elizarova
Columbus ITF
Jul 6
Piper Charney
Decatur ITF
Jun 9
Jessica Failla
W15 Huntsville 1 · 1st Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–49 matches
| Metric | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 43% |
| Sets won | 55% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sema | Schaefbauer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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