Erika Sema vs Maria Fernanda Navarro OlivaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Erika Sema
#553 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇲🇽Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva
#628 · 29 yrs
3wErika Sema and Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva have met 1 time since 2026; Erika Sema leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sema has taken 2 sets to Oliva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Erika Sema won at W35 Southaven (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sema | Fernanda Navarro Oliva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Erika Sema | Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 21/23 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 4% | 1/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 12/49 | 15% | 6/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 13/20 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 80% | 12/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sema 1, Fernanda Navarro Oliva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sema
🪃 Counterpuncher
Oliva
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,557 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
W35 Southaven
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sema | Oliva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Erika Sema | Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva | ||
| 1 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sema | Oliva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 4.95 |
| ROI % | -61.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.29u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sema | Oliva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Sema and Oliva posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Sema | Oliva |
|---|---|---|
| Cadence Brace | L 61 57 36 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Jia Jing Lu
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Eunhye Lee
W35 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sara Saito
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mckenna Schaefbauer
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kelly Keller
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 23
Katherine Hui
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
W15 Pilar · 1st Round
Sep 8
Camila Romero
W15 Lujan · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mia Celeste Brayotta
W15 Lujan · 1st Round
Sep 2
Cadence Brace
W35 Barueri · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Giulia Alessia Monteleone
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Erika Sema
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Peangtarn Plipuech
W100 Cary · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–50 matches
| Metric | Sema | Oliva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 43% |
| Sets won | 51% | 41% |
| Games won | 51% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sema | Oliva |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sema | Oliva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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