Erika Sema vs Kelly KellerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Erika Sema
#504 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Kelly Keller
Unranked · 26 yrs
6wErika Sema and Kelly Keller have met 1 time since 2026; Erika Sema leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sema has taken 2 sets to Keller's 0. Their most recent meeting: Erika Sema won at W35 Saskatoon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sema | Keller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Erika Sema | Kelly Keller | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 92% | 23/25 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 10/48 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 14/20 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sema 1, Keller 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sema
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Erika Sema and Kelly Keller are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
W35 Saskatoon
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sema | Keller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Erika Sema | Kelly Keller | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sema | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -31.2% | -48.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.74u | -4.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sema | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sema's 0%).
| Opponent | Sema | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Patcharin Cheapchadej | L 46 36 | W 76 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eunhye Lee
W35 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sara Saito
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mckenna Schaefbauer
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kelly Keller
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 23
Cadence Brace
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Avery Alexander
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Erika Sema
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 23
Annabelle Xu
W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 7
Kate Fakih
W15 San Diego · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Eleanor Goodman
W15 San Diego · 1st Round
Jul 1
Jane Dunyon
San Diego ITF
Jun 30
Amy Lee
San Diego ITF
Jun 29
Midori Castillo Meza
W15 Claremont · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Yulia Zhytelna
W15 Claremont · 1st Round
Jun 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–49 matches
| Metric | Sema | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 56% |
| Sets won | 55% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sema | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sema | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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