Eri Shimizu vs Natsumi KawaguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Eri Shimizu
#411 · 28 yrs
11w2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇯🇵Natsumi Kawaguchi
#401 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Eri Shimizu and Natsumi Kawaguchi have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W100 Takasaki 1 in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Shimizu has taken 2 sets to Kawaguchi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Natsumi Kawaguchi won at W75 Kurume (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shimizu | Kawaguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eri Shimizu | Natsumi Kawaguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 10/15 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 12% | 2/17 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 7/32 | 28% | 11/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 7/12 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 11/11 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 10/11 | 71% | 15/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shimizu 0, Kawaguchi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimizu
🏹 Frontrunner
Kawaguchi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 14, 2026
W75 Kurume
? Carpet · 2nd Round
Nov 19, 2025
W100 Takasaki 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shimizu | Kawaguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eri Shimizu | Natsumi Kawaguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimizu | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -35.0% | -59.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.75u | -1.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shimizu | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Shimizu and Kawaguchi posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shimizu | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Momoko Kobori | L 26 46 | L 63 36 57 |
| Sara Saito | W 64 46 64 | W 26 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Misaki Matsuda
W35 Taipei · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Nagi Hanatani
W35 Taipei · 1st Round
Jun 18
Mayuka Aikawa
W15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Nanari Katsumi
W15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Yuki Naito
W100 Takasaki · 2nd Round
May 22
Han Shi
W100 Takasaki · 1st Round
May 20
Natsumi Kawaguchi
W75 Kurume · 2nd Round
May 14
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 25
Ya Yi Yang
W35 Taipei · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Yishuang Lin
Taipei 3 ITF · Round of 32
Jun 23
Yu Chen Lin
W35 Taipei · 1st Round
Jun 23
Yuno Kitahara
W35 Taipei · 1st Round
Jun 16
Valentina Ryser
W100 Takasaki · 2nd Round
May 22
Sayaka Ishii
W100 Takasaki · 1st Round
May 20
Momoko Kobori
W75 Kurume · Quarterfinals
May 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–39 matches
| Metric | Shimizu | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 51% |
| Sets won | 45% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shimizu | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W100 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shimizu | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Carpet | 0 | 1 |
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