Ergi Kirkin vs Lucca LiuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ergi Kirkin and Lucca Liu have met 1 time since 2026; Ergi Kirkin leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Ergi Kirkin won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kirkin | Liu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ergi Kirkin | Lucca Liu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 30/39 | 93% | 14/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 17/67 | 12% | 3/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 27/44 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 30/37 | 82% | 14/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kirkin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Liu
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ergi Kirkin.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 17, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kirkin | Liu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ergi Kirkin | Lucca Liu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kirkin | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -33.6% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.38u | -1.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Kirkin and Liu posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Kirkin | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Hazem Naow | L 36 57 | W 60 62 |
| Oscar Brown | W 61 76 | L 63 57 06 |
| Mahmoud Chetouane | W 61 62 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ewen Lumsden
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Adrian Boitan
Istanbul Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Keshav Chopra
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Giorgio Tabacco
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Togan Tokac
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Mika Brunold
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Monastir · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Leander Tauber
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 29
Paul Colin
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Scott Ekindi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ergi Kirkin
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–67 matches
| Metric | Kirkin | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 60% |
| Sets won | 57% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kirkin | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kirkin | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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