Ergi Kirkin vs Keshav ChopraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Istanbul Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 6 · 3:05 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 2.59 or longer, Keshav Chopra has won 3 of 10 (30%). That is level with the 29% the price implied.
At 1.44 or shorter, Ergi Kirkin has won 25 of 33 (76%). The price implied 72%, so Ergi Kirkin has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Keshav Chopra and Ergi Kirkin meet in the 1st Round Qualifying of the Istanbul Challenger on hard court September 6. Chopra ranks 697th; Kirkin sits at 657th. The two have never faced each other.
Chopra has won 6 of his last 10 matches and holds a 70% record on hard courts from recent play. Kirkin won 4 of his last 10 and sits at 65% on the surface. Both players dropped their most recent matches, though Kirkin took the court more recently, six days ago. Against common opponents, Chopra defeated Amar Tahirovic and Aziz Ouakaa while Kirkin lost to both; David Eichenseher beat Chopra but fell to Kirkin.
Both players operate as counterpunchers, relying on reaction and precision rather than aggressive baseline dominance. Chopra has played four matches in the past two weeks; Kirkin three. The match will ask Chopra whether he can maintain his harder-court form over a busier stretch, and Kirkin whether he can reverse his recent slide against a player who has won more often on this surface.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kirkin | Chopra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ergi Kirkin | Keshav Chopra | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 32/40 | 78% | 28/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 9/29 | 14% | 3/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 17/69 | 19% | 11/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 28/44 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 32/39 | 80% | 28/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kirkin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Chopra
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Ergi Kirkin and Keshav Chopra are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,238 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Kirkin and Chopra have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kirkin | Chopra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ergi Kirkin | Keshav Chopra | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 68% | 15/22 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 36% | 8/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kirkin | Chopra |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–9 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -20.2% | +44.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | +10.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kirkin | Chopra |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GER → BUL | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chopra has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Kirkin's 57%).
| Opponent | Kirkin | Chopra |
|---|---|---|
| David Eichenseher | W 61 64 | L 36 46 |
| Hazem Naow | L 36 57 | W 62 62 |
| Aziz Ouakaa | L 46 36 | W 63 63 |
| Kerem Yilmaz | W 62 63 | W 64 61 |
| Mustapha El Natour | W 60 62 | W 63 60 |
| Sandro Kopp | L 46 16 | L 67 36 |
| Alexey Aleshchev | W 63 62 | W 60 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Giorgio Tabacco
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Togan Tokac
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Mika Brunold
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
David Eichenseher
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Andrej Nedic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Zeballos
Hamburg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Boris Arias
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Andrew Fenty
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Kaylan Bigun
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Aidan Mayo
Kingston 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Juan Jose Bianchi
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Joseph Hernandez
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–69 matches
| Metric | Kirkin | Chopra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 62% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |