Emma Van Poppel vs Ksenia SmirnovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Emma Van Poppel and Ksenia Smirnova have met 1 time since 2026; Ksenia Smirnova leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Ksenia Smirnova won at W15 Hillcrest (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Van Poppel | Smirnova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Van Poppel | Ksenia Smirnova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 3/23 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 14% | 4/28 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 3/5 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 16% | 3/19 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 4/6 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poppel
🤖 Servebot
Smirnova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 15, 2026
W15 Hillcrest
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poppel | Smirnova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Van Poppel | Ksenia Smirnova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poppel | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 5.26 | 2.66 |
| ROI % | -18.5% | -56.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | -2.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poppel | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUN → MNE | FRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smirnova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Poppel's 0%).
| Opponent | Poppel | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Oliwia Kadzielska | L 16 57 | W 61 62 |
| Astrid Cirotte | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Dominika Podhajecka | L 16 63 06 | W |
| Danielle Dai Chapman | L 26 26 | W |
| Nelise Verster | L 36 16 | W 63 63 |
| Tia Messerli | L 67 67 | W 62 26 62 |
| Lan Mi | L 16 06 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sevil Yuldasheva
W15 Islamabad · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Julie Myatovic
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Oliwia Kadzielska
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Julia Kolodziejska
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 1st Round
Sep 2
Julia Kolodziejska
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 1st Round
Sep 1
Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 15
Jahnie Van Zyl
W35 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 7
Nelise Verster
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 1
Yuliya Hatouka
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Maddalena Giordano
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nina Rudiukova
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Joody Elkady
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Astrid Cirotte
W15 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dominika Podhajecka
W15 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Emma Van Poppel
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–32 matches
| Metric | Poppel | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 18% | 69% |
| Sets won | 22% | 65% |
| Games won | 39% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poppel | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poppel | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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