Emiliana Arango vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Emiliana Arango
#160 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
42 meetings · sets 3–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleEmiliana Arango and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Arango has taken 3 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Rothesay Open - Nottingham (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arango | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emiliana Arango | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 11/28 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 27% | 3/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arango 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arango
⚙️ Grinder
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tatjana Maria.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2024
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arango | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emiliana Arango | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.61 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.58u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → ESP | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Arango's 29%).
| Opponent | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Xinyu Wang | L 46 26 | W 61 67 64 |
| Venus Williams | W 62 62 | W 64 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 36 06 | L 64 67 16 |
| Talia Gibson | W 63 62 | W 60 63 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L | L 57 06 |
| Anna Bondar | L 36 46 | L 67 57 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 36 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ayla Aksu
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 6
Anna Blinkova
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 28
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Carol Young Suh Lee
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 53% |
| Sets won | 38% | 55% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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