Emiliana Arango vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Emiliana Arango
#84 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Emiliana Arango and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Arango has taken 3 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Rothesay Open - Nottingham (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arango | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emiliana Arango | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 15/19 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 7/27 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/46 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arango 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arango
🎾 All-Court
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2024
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arango | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emiliana Arango | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.71 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -18.2% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Arango and Maria posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Venus Williams | W 62 62 | W 64 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 36 06 | L 64 67 16 |
| Talia Gibson | W 63 62 | W 60 63 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 76 60 | W 61 60 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 16 | L 16 26 |
| Anna Bondar | L 36 46 | L 67 57 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 64 75 | W 64 63 |
| Andrea Magallanes | W 61 60 | W 61 67 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 36 | L 57 26 |
| Suzan Lamens | L 16 26 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Venus Williams
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lea Nilsson
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 6
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Maya Joint
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 50% |
| Sets won | 44% | 52% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arango | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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