Emiliana Arango vs Lea NilssonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Emiliana Arango
#84 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇸🇪Lea Nilsson
#371 · 17 yrs · Left-Handed
Emiliana Arango and Lea Nilsson have met 1 time since 2026; Emiliana Arango leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arango has taken 2 sets to Nilsson's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emiliana Arango won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arango | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emiliana Arango | Lea Nilsson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 15/19 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 7/27 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/46 | 30% | 11/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arango 1, Nilsson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arango
🎾 All-Court
Nilsson
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 764 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 6, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arango | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emiliana Arango | Lea Nilsson | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arango | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.71 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -18.2% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +0.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arango | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | POR → DEN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Arango and Nilsson posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Arango | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Magallanes | W 61 60 | W 63 62 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | L 36 46 | L 75 57 16 |
| Kayla Day | L 57 26 | L 62 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Venus Williams
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lea Nilsson
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 6
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Maya Joint
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dayeon Back
W50 Horb · Final
Jul 26
Charo Esquiva Banuls
W50 Horb · Semifinals
Jul 25
Francesca Parcelli
W50 Horb · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Margaux Rouvroy
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Fiona Ganz
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Darmstadt · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–46 matches
| Metric | Arango | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 62% |
| Sets won | 44% | 62% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arango | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arango | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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