Emerson Jones vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Emerson Jones
#126 · 17 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Emerson Jones and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Emerson Jones leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jones has taken 2 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emerson Jones won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jones | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emerson Jones | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 29/38 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 16/58 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 24/38 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jones 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jones
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jones | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emerson Jones | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -51.3% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.62u | +2.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Jones's 57%).
| Opponent | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | L 36 26 | W 62 61 |
| Renata Zarazua | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 36 76 63 | W 60 63 |
| Katherine Sebov | W 26 64 63 | W 63 63 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 62 61 | W 60 61 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | W 62 62 | W 76 62 |
| Emma Navarro | L 36 36 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Madison Brengle
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carol Zhao
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ayana Akli
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Dalma Galfi
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 10
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 50% |
| Sets won | 63% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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