Emerson Jones vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Emerson Jones
#122 · 17 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleEmerson Jones and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Emerson Jones leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jones has taken 2 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emerson Jones won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jones | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emerson Jones | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 28/39 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 20/64 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 23/42 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jones 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jones
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jones | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emerson Jones | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -39.0% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.85u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → CHN → ROU | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Jones's 56%).
| Opponent | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Brengle | W 46 60 62 | W 63 64 |
| Unknown Player | W 61 64 | W 61 67 64 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 26 26 | L 76 26 36 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | L 36 26 | W 62 61 |
| Renata Zarazua | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 36 76 63 | W 60 63 |
| Katherine Sebov | W 26 64 63 | W 63 63 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 62 61 | W 60 61 |
| Emma Navarro | L 36 36 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mai Hontama
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alexandra Shubladze
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · Semifinals
Oct 3
Kyoka Okamura
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Unknown Player
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Haruka Kaji
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 28
Ye Xin Ma
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Suzan Lamens
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–64 matches
| Metric | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 53% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jones | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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