Elza Tomase vs Lucia NatalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elza Tomase and Lucia Natal have met 1 time since 2026; Elza Tomase leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tomase has taken 2 sets to Natal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elza Tomase won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomase | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elza Tomase | Lucia Natal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 23/26 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 8% | 1/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 9/43 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 77% | 17/22 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 5/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 24/25 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 100% | 8/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomase 1, Natal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomase
👑 The Complete Package
Natal
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 741 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elza Tomase.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomase | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elza Tomase | Lucia Natal | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 4.17 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -41.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → SUI | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomase has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Natal's 0%).
| Opponent | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriela Clavero Canto | W 62 62 | L 36 46 |
| Nina Radovanovic | L 16 36 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cadence Brace
W35 Baza · 1st Round
Sep 30
Freya Peet
W35 Baza · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Gabriela Clavero Canto
W35 Baza · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kira Pavlova
W50 Yecla · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Laura Hietaranta
W50 Yecla · 1st Round
Sep 23
Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Yecla · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Freya Peet
W50 Yecla · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Anne Schaefer
W15 Viserba di Rimini · Quarterfinals
Sep 12
Ashley Lahey
W15 Badalona · 1st Round
Sep 2
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Anais Gabriel
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 1st Round
Jul 22
Carlota Vila Salles
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Noah Rojas Hernandez
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Nina Radovanovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–43 matches
| Metric | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 12% |
| Sets won | 61% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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