Elza Tomase vs Lucia NatalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elza Tomase and Lucia Natal have met 1 time since 2026; Elza Tomase leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tomase has taken 2 sets to Natal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elza Tomase won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomase | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elza Tomase | Lucia Natal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/30 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 10/14 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 100% | 2/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomase 1, Natal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomase
👑 The Complete Package
Natal
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 73% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elza Tomase.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomase | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elza Tomase | Lucia Natal | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 4.01 |
| ROI % | +14.6% | +122.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.63u | +6.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → POR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eva Bennemann
W35 Erwitte · 1st Round
Aug 19
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
W15 Savitaipale · Final
Aug 2
Maileen Nuudi
W15 Savitaipale · Semifinals
Aug 1
Beatrice Stagno
W15 Savitaipale · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alexia Lavinia Puiac
W15 Savitaipale · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Matylda Burylo
W15 Savitaipale · 1st Round
Jul 29
Adithya Karunaratne
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Final
Jul 12
Anja Stankovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Jul 11
Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 14
Elza Tomase
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 10
Sophie Luescher
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 8
Cayetana Gay
W15 Getxo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W15 Bucharest · 1st Round
May 13
Polona Hercog
W35 Platja d'Aro · 1st Round
May 6
Despina Papamichail
W50 Chihuahua 1 · 1st Round
Mar 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–30 matches
| Metric | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 38% |
| Sets won | 60% | 37% |
| Games won | 53% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomase | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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