Elvina Kalieva vs Kyoka OkamuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- Semifinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 Β· 11:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.86 or longer, Kyoka Okamura has won 9 of 23 (39%). The price implied 27%, so Kyoka Okamura has beaten it by 12 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Kyoka Okamura and Elvina Kalieva meet in the Suzhou WTA 125 semifinals on hard court Friday, in a first career matchup between the two. Okamura, ranked 303rd, arrives on a five-match winning streak after moving through the draw undefeated in her last five. Kalieva, ranked 117th, has won three straight and owns a 55% record on hard courts over her recent sample.
The two have never played. Both faced Sofia Costoulas recently and won; both also lost to Lanlana Tararudee, though Kalieva beat Hayu Kinoshita while Okamura fell to her. Kalieva has posted a 50% win rate over her last ten matches. Okamura has gone 8-2 in her last ten and played eight matches in the past fourteen days, a demanding stretch heading into this semifinal.
Okamura builds points through balanced court coverage and adaptation; her game lacks a single overwhelming weapon but responds well to varied patterns. Kalieva relies on serving and does her damage from the baseline when the serve holds. On hard courts, Okamura sits at 50% while Kalieva stands at 55%, narrow margins that reflect how tightly matched their recent records are. Okamura must sustain her momentum and dictate play early in points; Kalieva needs her first serve to function consistently and her return game to create chances from behind.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalieva | Okamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elvina Kalieva | Kyoka Okamura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 30/47 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 30/78 | 23% | 12/52 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 22/33 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 30/39 | 69% | 20/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalieva
π€ Servebot
Okamura
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs π€ Servebot across 2,134 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kyoka Okamura.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Kalieva and Okamura have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalieva | Okamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elvina Kalieva | Kyoka Okamura | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 8/20 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalieva | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11β9 | 9β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 3.79 |
| ROI % | +8.3% | +49.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.65u | +7.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalieva | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 8 | 12 |
| Distance | β | β |
| Route | UKR β POR β ROU | CZE β SGP β CHN β ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kalieva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Okamura's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalieva | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Sijia Wei | W | W 63 62 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | L 36 76 26 | L 26 16 |
| Sofia Costoulas | W 36 63 64 | W 64 76 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | W 76 75 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Tamara Korpatsch
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 2nd Round
Oct 8
Ye Xin Ma
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 1st Round
Oct 5
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Han Shi
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Ellen Perez
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Katie Volynets
Korea Open - Seoul Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Tatiana Prozorova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 2nd Round
Oct 7
Darja Vidmanova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 1st Round
Oct 6
Sijia Wei
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Emerson Jones
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Alevtina Ibragimova
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Ru Xi Wu
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β78 matches
| Metric | Kalieva | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 52% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |