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Head-to-Head

Elvina Kalieva vs Kyoka OkamuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou
Level
WTA 125
Round
Semifinals
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 9 Β· 11:30 PM ET

Book odds

Kyoka Okamura2.86
Elvina Kalieva1.39

Set spread

Okamura -1.54.57
Kalieva +1.51.16

Game spread

Okamura +3.51.93
Kalieva -3.51.78
OkamuraHard-court specialist (86%)KalievaHard-court specialist (65%)

Record at prices like this

Kyoka Okamura2.86implies 27%won 39%+12 pts

At 2.86 or longer, Kyoka Okamura has won 9 of 23 (39%). The price implied 27%, so Kyoka Okamura has beaten it by 12 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Kyoka Okamura and Elvina Kalieva meet in the Suzhou WTA 125 semifinals on hard court Friday, in a first career matchup between the two. Okamura, ranked 303rd, arrives on a five-match winning streak after moving through the draw undefeated in her last five. Kalieva, ranked 117th, has won three straight and owns a 55% record on hard courts over her recent sample.

The two have never played. Both faced Sofia Costoulas recently and won; both also lost to Lanlana Tararudee, though Kalieva beat Hayu Kinoshita while Okamura fell to her. Kalieva has posted a 50% win rate over her last ten matches. Okamura has gone 8-2 in her last ten and played eight matches in the past fourteen days, a demanding stretch heading into this semifinal.

Okamura builds points through balanced court coverage and adaptation; her game lacks a single overwhelming weapon but responds well to varied patterns. Kalieva relies on serving and does her damage from the baseline when the serve holds. On hard courts, Okamura sits at 50% while Kalieva stands at 55%, narrow margins that reflect how tightly matched their recent records are. Okamura must sustain her momentum and dictate play early in points; Kalieva needs her first serve to function consistently and her return game to create chances from behind.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months

IndicatorKalievaOkamura
Wins in straight sets64%74%
Wins a set when losing42%20%
Goes to a deciding set38%23%
Covers βˆ’1.5 sets as favorite46%52%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog67%48%
Tiebreak sets won65%45%
Wins after taking set 190%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 177%69%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Kalieva

πŸ€– Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Okamura

πŸ‘‘ The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The πŸ‘‘ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs πŸ€– Servebot across 2,134 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kyoka Okamura.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Kalieva and Okamura have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days

OutcomeKalievaOkamura
1 or more95%60%
3 or more85%27%
5 or more40%20%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days

MetricKalievaOkamura
W-L11–99–7
Avg odds2.073.79
ROI %+8.3%+49.0%
Units P/L+1.65u+7.84u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricKalievaOkamura
Countries34
Events44
Matches812
Distanceβ€”β€”
RouteUKR β†’ POR β†’ ROUCZE β†’ SGP β†’ CHN β†’ ROU

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months

Kalieva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Okamura's 50%).

OpponentKalievaOkamura
Sijia Wei
W
W
63
62
Lanlana Tararudee
L
36
76
26
L
26
16
Sofia Costoulas
W
36
63
64
W
64
76
Hayu Kinoshita
W
76
75
L
16
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Kalieva
WWWLLWLL
W

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· Quarterfinals

63
768

Oct 9

W

Tamara Korpatsch

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 2nd Round

26
61
64

Oct 8

W

Ye Xin Ma

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 1st Round

63
64

Oct 5

L

Viktorija Golubic

China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round

36
16

Sep 30

L

Han Shi

China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round Qualifying

765
57
36

Sep 29

W

Ellen Perez

China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round Qualifying

62
64

Sep 28

L

Katie Volynets

Korea Open - Seoul Β· 1st Round

36
06

Sep 21

L

Kayla Day

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round

697
46

Sep 14

Okamura
WWWWWLWW
W

Zhuoxuan Bai

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· Quarterfinals

61
763

Oct 9

W

Tatiana Prozorova

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 2nd Round

64
36
765

Oct 7

W

Darja Vidmanova

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 1st Round

62
667
61

Oct 6

W

Sijia Wei

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 3rd Round Qualifying

63
62

Oct 5

W

Priska Madelyn Nugroho

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou Β· 1st Round Qualifying

63
765

Oct 4

L

Emerson Jones

Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan Β· Quarterfinals

647
637

Oct 2

W

Alevtina Ibragimova

Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan Β· 2nd Round

677
61
63

Oct 1

W

Ru Xi Wu

Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan Β· 1st Round

62
64

Sep 29

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52–78 matches

MetricKalievaOkamura
Matches won60%52%
Sets won58%51%
Games won52%50%