Elvina Kalieva vs Hayu KinoshitaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Elvina Kalieva
#115 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Hayu Kinoshita
#223 · 19 yrs
5wElvina Kalieva and Hayu Kinoshita have met 1 time since 2026; Elvina Kalieva leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kalieva has taken 2 sets to Kinoshita's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elvina Kalieva won at W100 Evansville (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalieva | Kinoshita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elvina Kalieva | Hayu Kinoshita | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 22/60 | 19% | 11/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 16/31 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 89% | 31/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalieva 1, Kinoshita 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalieva
💥 Big Hitter
Kinoshita
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
W100 Evansville
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalieva | Kinoshita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elvina Kalieva | Hayu Kinoshita | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalieva | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -13.3% | -54.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -4.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalieva | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ECU → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kalieva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kinoshita's 0%).
| Opponent | Kalieva | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Sakura Hosogi | W 62 62 | L 26 16 |
| Viktoria Hruncakova | L 64 46 36 | L 16 16 |
| Talia Gibson | W 75 26 64 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Semifinals
Aug 1
Peyton Stearns
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Zeynep Sonmez
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Katherine Sebov
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Kayla Cross
W100 Evansville · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kyoka Okamura
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Moyuka Uchijima
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Elvina Kalieva
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Sakura Hosogi
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Iryna Shymanovich
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 8
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Viktoriya Tomova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Viktoria Hruncakova
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–60 matches
| Metric | Kalieva | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 54% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalieva | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W100 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalieva | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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