Ella Mcdonald vs Mia WainwrightPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ella Mcdonald and Mia Wainwright have met 1 time since 2026; Ella Mcdonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mcdonald has taken 2 sets to Wainwright's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ella Mcdonald won at W50 Nottingham (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcdonald | Wainwright | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ella Mcdonald | Mia Wainwright | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 28/32 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 16% | 3/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 9/47 | 18% | 5/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 78% | 18/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 70% | 7/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcdonald 1, Wainwright 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcdonald
💥 Big Hitter
Wainwright
🏃 Pusher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 75% vs 🏃 Pusher across 760 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ella Mcdonald.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
W50 Nottingham
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcdonald | Wainwright | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ella Mcdonald | Mia Wainwright | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcdonald | Wainwright |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +34.2% | -26.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.13u | -0.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcdonald | Wainwright |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mcdonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wainwright's 33%).
| Opponent | Mcdonald | Wainwright |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 60 64 | W 63 76 |
| Paula Cembranos | W 60 61 | L 57 06 |
| Eliz Maloney | W 63 75 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristina Penickova
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Savannah Broadus
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arina Bulatova
W100 Templeton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Katherine Hui
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kayla Day
W50 Berkeley · Semifinals
Sep 26
Madison Brengle
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Savannah Broadus
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Mila Angrave
W35 Birmingham · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Sveva Pieroni
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Oct 7
Zuzanna Bednarz
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Amelie Brooks
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mary Lewis
W35 Aldershot · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Giulia Alessia Monteleone
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Paula Cembranos
W35 Roehampton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Sabine Rutlauka
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–48 matches
| Metric | Mcdonald | Wainwright |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 32% |
| Sets won | 66% | 34% |
| Games won | 57% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcdonald | Wainwright |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcdonald | Wainwright |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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