Ella Mcdonald vs Mathilde Ngijol CarrePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W50 Austin
- Level
- ITF W50
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 19 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Ella Mcdonald and Mathilde Ngijol Carre meet next at the W50 Austin on October 19 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcdonald | Ngijol Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ella Mcdonald | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 28/32 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/46 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 78% | 18/23 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcdonald
💥 Big Hitter
Carre
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 910 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ella Mcdonald.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Mcdonald and Carre have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcdonald | Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ella Mcdonald | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcdonald | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–3 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | +34.1% | -14.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.46u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcdonald | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR → HUN | MNE → RSA → HUN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Mcdonald and Carre posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Mcdonald | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 60 64 | W 61 60 |
| Julieta Pareja | L | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kate Fakih
W50 Austin · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Kristina Penickova
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Savannah Broadus
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arina Bulatova
W100 Templeton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Katherine Hui
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kayla Day
W50 Berkeley · Semifinals
Sep 26
Madison Brengle
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Megan Heuser
W50 Austin · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Salma Drugdova
W35 Redding · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 13
Tatiana Pellow
W35 Redding · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Stefani Webb
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Charlotte Narti
W15 Nashville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Malwina Rowinska
W15 Nashville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–47 matches
| Metric | Mcdonald | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 55% |
| Sets won | 68% | 50% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |