Ella Mcdonald vs Kristina PenickovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Ella Mcdonald
#351 · 20 yrs
531 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Kristina Penickova
#555 · 16 yrs · Right-Handed
Ella Mcdonald and Kristina Penickova have met 1 time since 2026; Ella Mcdonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mcdonald has taken 2 sets to Penickova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ella Mcdonald won at W100 Templeton (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcdonald | Penickova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ella Mcdonald | Kristina Penickova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 28/32 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 9/47 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 78% | 18/23 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 67% | 10/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcdonald 1, Penickova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcdonald
💥 Big Hitter
Penickova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
W100 Templeton
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcdonald | Penickova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ella Mcdonald | Kristina Penickova | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcdonald | Penickova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +34.2% | +8.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.13u | +0.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcdonald | Penickova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR | TUR → BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristina Penickova
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Savannah Broadus
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arina Bulatova
W100 Templeton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Katherine Hui
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kayla Day
W50 Berkeley · Semifinals
Sep 26
Madison Brengle
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Savannah Broadus
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Alina Shcherbinina
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ella Mcdonald
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Carolina Kuhl
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Iryna Shymanovich
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Elizabeth Mandlik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–48 matches
| Metric | Mcdonald | Penickova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 52% |
| Sets won | 66% | 53% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcdonald | Penickova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W100 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcdonald | Penickova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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