Elina Svitolina vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleElina Svitolina and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2016; Elina Svitolina leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Svitolina leads 3–0. Svitolina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 7 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 3, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 29, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 3, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Oct 5, 2016
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Maria's 30%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 75 | W 63 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 62 63 | L 76 26 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 36 76 60 | W 63 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 76 63 | L 26 57 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 61 64 | W 61 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 62 | L 16 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 76 57 06 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 62 26 | L 36 06 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 61 76 | L 67 57 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 61 62 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–60 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 53% |
| Sets won | 68% | 55% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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