Elina Svitolina vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2016; Elina Svitolina leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Svitolina leads 3–0. Svitolina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 7 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 3, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 29, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 3, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Oct 5, 2016
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maria's 30%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Tereza Valentova | W 36 76 60 | W 63 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 76 63 | L 26 57 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 61 64 | W 61 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 62 | L 16 26 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 63 46 46 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 76 57 06 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 62 26 | L 36 06 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 61 76 | L 67 57 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 61 62 | L 57 26 |
| Katarzyna Kawa | W 62 61 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–60 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 50% |
| Sets won | 67% | 52% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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