Elina Nepliy vs Polina BakhmutkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Elina Nepliy
#488 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
7w2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇷🇺Polina Bakhmutkina
Unranked · 27 yrs
10wElina Nepliy and Polina Bakhmutkina have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W35 New Delhi 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Nepliy has taken 3 sets to Bakhmutkina's 3. Their most recent meeting: Polina Bakhmutkina won at W35 Solapur 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nepliy | Bakhmutkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Nepliy | Polina Bakhmutkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 13/50 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 17/24 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 7/20 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nepliy 0, Bakhmutkina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nepliy
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bakhmutkina
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Nepliy.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Dec 23, 2025
W35 Solapur 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Dec 17, 2025
W35 New Delhi 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nepliy | Bakhmutkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -11.3% | -15.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.24u | -0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nepliy has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bakhmutkina's 0%).
| Opponent | Nepliy | Bakhmutkina |
|---|---|---|
| Vaishnavi Adkar | W 75 26 61 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Viktoria Morvayova
Athens WTA
Jul 12
Qianhui Tang
Athens WTA
Jul 11
Luna Vujovic
W35 Mohammedia · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Ruth Roura Llaverias
W35 Mohammedia · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Ksenia Krupenina
W35 Mohammedia · 1st Round
Jun 17
Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Casablanca · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Diae El Jardi
W35 Casablanca · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nina Vargova
W15 Casablanca · Semifinals
Jun 6
Marcelina Podlinska
Gdansk ITF
Jun 23
Barbara Straszewska
Gdansk ITF
Jun 22
Jennifer Ruggeri
Zaragoza ITF
May 26
Vaishnavi Adkar
W35 Solapur 1 · 2nd Round
Dec 25
Elina Nepliy
W35 Solapur 1 · 1st Round
Dec 23
Elina Nepliy
W35 New Delhi 1 · 1st Round
Dec 17
Barbora Palicova
W75 Petange 1 · 1st Round
Nov 19
Vaidehi Chaudhari
W15 Tashkent 4 · 1st Round
Oct 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–50 matches
| Metric | Nepliy | Bakhmutkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 43% |
| Sets won | 57% | 42% |
| Games won | 55% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nepliy | Bakhmutkina |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nepliy | Bakhmutkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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