Elina Nepliy vs Jessica BertoldoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W50 Heraklion
- Level
- ITF W50
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 7 · 3:10 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.85 or shorter, Jessica Bertoldo has won 10 of 16 (63%). The price implied 56%, so Jessica Bertoldo has beaten it by 7 points.
At 1.82 or shorter, Elina Nepliy has won 10 of 13 (77%). The price implied 58%, so Elina Nepliy has beaten it by 19 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Elina Nepliy meets Jessica Bertoldo in the second round of the W50 Heraklion on clay on October 7. Nepliy, ranked 473rd, has not played in three weeks and arrives on a three-match losing streak. Bertoldo is unseeded but comes in fresh, having won her opening match yesterday.
The two have no prior head-to-head record. Nepliy has won two of her last ten matches overall. Bertoldo has taken three of her last five, though her longer sample shows four wins in ten.
On clay, Nepliy has posted a 65% win rate over a larger sample and operates as a counterpuncher who disrupts rhythm and capitalizes on reaction. Bertoldo's record on the surface sits at 25% and she relies on consistency and defensive positioning. The match will test whether Nepliy can find timing against a player built for extended rallies, or whether Bertoldo's steadiness will outlast an opponent still searching for form.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nepliy | Bertoldo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Nepliy | Jessica Bertoldo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 16/54 | 26% | 9/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 17/26 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 8/20 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 23% | 3/13 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 83% | 10/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nepliy
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bertoldo
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 61% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,554 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Nepliy.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Nepliy and Bertoldo have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nepliy | Bertoldo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -50.3% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.02u | +0.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nepliy | Bertoldo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | NED → BEL → GER | GER |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nepliy and Bertoldo posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nepliy | Bertoldo |
|---|---|---|
| Carlota Martinez Cirez | L 67 36 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yasmin Ezzat
W35 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 16
Saoirse Breen
W15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 9
Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Hurghada · Semifinals
Sep 5
Laia Petretic
W15 Hurghada · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Emilia Carlotta Brune
W15 Hurghada · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jermine Sherif
W15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 2
Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Dunja Maric
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Leticia Romanova
W50 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 6
Karolina Mrazikova
W100 Amstetten · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Gaia Maduzzi
W35 Torino · 1st Round
Jul 15
Masha Lazarenko
W35 Torino · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Charlotte Narti
W35 Torino · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Lisa Claeys
W15 Getxo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Marcelina Podlinska
Bundesliga - women · -
Jun 14
Federica Urgesi
Bundesliga - women · -
Jun 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–54 matches
| Metric | Nepliy | Bertoldo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 35% |
| Sets won | 58% | 40% |
| Games won | 55% | 46% |