Elina Nepliy vs Ilinca SagmarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elina Nepliy and Ilinca Sagmar have met 1 time since 2026; Elina Nepliy leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nepliy has taken 2 sets to Sagmar's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elina Nepliy won at W15 Antalya 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nepliy | Sagmar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Nepliy | Ilinca Sagmar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 13/50 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 17/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 7/20 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 80% | 4/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nepliy 1, Sagmar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nepliy
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sagmar
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Nepliy.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 21, 2026
W15 Antalya 1
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nepliy | Sagmar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Nepliy | Ilinca Sagmar | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 3 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nepliy | Sagmar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -11.3% | +2.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.24u | +0.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nepliy and Sagmar posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nepliy | Sagmar |
|---|---|---|
| Nina Vargova | L 26 46 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Viktoria Morvayova
Athens WTA
Jul 12
Qianhui Tang
Athens WTA
Jul 11
Luna Vujovic
W35 Mohammedia · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Ruth Roura Llaverias
W35 Mohammedia · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Ksenia Krupenina
W35 Mohammedia · 1st Round
Jun 17
Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Casablanca · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Diae El Jardi
W35 Casablanca · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nina Vargova
W15 Casablanca · Semifinals
Jun 6
Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Galati · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Alexia Lavinia Puiac
W15 Galati · 1st Round
Jun 23
Iulia Maria Buculei
W15 Bucharest · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Laura Brunkel
W15 Bucharest · 1st Round
Jun 17
Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
May 13
Nina Vargova
W35 Heraklion 1 · 1st Round
Mar 4
Daria Lodikova
W15 Antalya 2 · 2nd Round
Jan 30
Alexia Ioana Tatu
W15 Antalya 2 · 1st Round
Jan 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–50 matches
| Metric | Nepliy | Sagmar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 42% |
| Sets won | 57% | 42% |
| Games won | 55% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nepliy | Sagmar |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nepliy | Sagmar |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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