Elina Avanesyan vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦π²Elina Avanesyan
#145 Β· 23 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4w3 meetings Β· sets 3β5

πΊπΈVarvara Lepchenko
#192 Β· 40 yrs Β· Left-Handed
Elina Avanesyan and Varvara Lepchenko have met 3 times since 2023; Varvara Lepchenko leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Chicago Open - Chicago in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Lepchenko leads 2β0. Across all meetings Avanesyan has taken 3 sets to Lepchenko's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elina Avanesyan won at MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Avanesyan | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Avanesyan | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 38% | 21/56 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 28/29 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Avanesyan 0, Lepchenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Avanesyan
βοΈ The Gladiator
Lepchenko
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs βοΈ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Lepchenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 20, 2026
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg
C Clay Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 22, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 22, 2023
Chicago Open - Chicago
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Avanesyan | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Avanesyan | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Avanesyan | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β3 | 4β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | +0.9% | -47.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.06u | -5.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Avanesyan | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | BRA | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Avanesyan and Lepchenko posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Avanesyan | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Alycia Parks | L 16 26 | L 36 61 57 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 16 76 46 | L 64 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 2nd Round
Sep 17
Julia Riera
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· Semifinals
Jul 25
Yulia Putintseva
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Arantxa Rus
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Varvara Lepchenko
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Dalila Jakupovic
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Ulrikke Eikeri
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 13
Claire Liu
Kia Open - Barranquilla Β· 2nd Round
Sep 9
Katrina Scott
Kia Open - Barranquilla Β· 1st Round
Sep 7
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alina Korneeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Emerson Jones
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 50β56 matches
| Metric | Avanesyan | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 46% |
| Sets won | 61% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Avanesyan | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Avanesyan | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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