Elias Ymer vs Yu Hsiou HsuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Yu Hsiou Hsu have met 1 time since 2023; Yu Hsiou Hsu leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 0 sets to Hsu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yu Hsiou Hsu won at Australian Open (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Zhangjiagang Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 30 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.58 or shorter, Yu Hsiou Hsu has won 17 of 26 matches, 65% against a fair-price expectation of 65%.
Priced around 2.17 or longer, Elias Ymer has won 34 of 99 matches, 34% against a fair-price expectation of 36%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Elias Ymer and Yu Hsiou Hsu meet next at the Zhangjiagang Challenger on August 30 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Hsiou Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 72% | 28/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 17/44 | 27% | 18/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 14/26 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 74% | 28/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 0, Hsiou Hsu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Hsu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elias Ymer.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 2, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 3.60 |
| ROI % | -25.5% | -60.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.55u | -4.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,463 mi · 2,354 km | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | USA → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ymer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Hsu's 33%).
| Opponent | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Henry Searle | L 67 67 | L 46 67 |
| Renta Tokuda | W 57 61 60 | W 75 60 |
| Coleman Wong | W 63 36 76 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paul Jubb
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Federico Cina
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Timofey Skatov
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Henry Searle
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ugo Humbert
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · Final
Aug 23
Masamichi Imamura
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 22
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Kai-I Wang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sebastian Gorzny
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Michael Mmoh
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–66 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 59% |
| Sets won | 47% | 57% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |