Elias Ymer vs Yu Hsiou HsuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Yu Hsiou Hsu have met 2 times since 2023; Yu Hsiou Hsu leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Hsu leads 2–0. Hsu has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 0 sets to Hsu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yu Hsiou Hsu won at Zhangjiagang Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Hsiou Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 75% | 27/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 23/54 | 28% | 18/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 16/28 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 85% | 33/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 69% | 27/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 0, Hsiou Hsu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Hsu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
Zhangjiagang Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 2, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -55.8% | -79.6% |
| Units P/L | -7.25u | -5.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Ymer and Hsu posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | L 57 67 | L 64 46 46 |
| Henry Searle | L 67 67 | L 46 67 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L | W 76 64 |
| Renta Tokuda | W 57 61 60 | W 75 60 |
| Coleman Wong | W 63 36 76 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Olle Wallin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
James Kent Trotter
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elias Ymer
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · Final
Aug 23
Masamichi Imamura
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 22
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–65 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 55% |
| Sets won | 50% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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