Elias Ymer vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Sho Shimabukuro have met 3 times since 2024; Sho Shimabukuro leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2024 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Shimabukuro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 4 sets to Shimabukuro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at Birmingham Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 70% | 30/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 17/44 | 32% | 22/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 14/26 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 67% | 30/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 0, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 2nd Round
Nov 1, 2025
Seoul Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -25.5% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.55u | -1.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,463 mi · 2,354 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → JAM | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ymer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Shimabukuro's 67%).
| Opponent | Ymer | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 26 63 76 | L 26 16 |
| Jurij Rodionov | W 64 36 62 | W 76 63 |
| Uisung Park | W 64 16 76 | W 76 61 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 57 46 16 | L 46 63 26 |
| Coleman Wong | W 63 36 76 | W 64 63 |
| Kokoro Isomura | W 62 63 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paul Jubb
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Federico Cina
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Timofey Skatov
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Henry Searle
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ugo Humbert
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–69 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 62% |
| Sets won | 47% | 59% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.