Ekaterina Agureeva vs Mathilde Ngijol CarrePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ekaterina Agureeva and Mathilde Ngijol Carre have met 1 time since 2026; Mathilde Ngijol Carre leads 1–0. Across all meetings Agureeva has taken 1 sets to Carre's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mathilde Ngijol Carre won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Agureeva | Ngijol Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Agureeva | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 4/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 8/15 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 5/10 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Agureeva 0, Ngijol Carre 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Agureeva
👑 The Complete Package
Carre
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 67% vs 🧱 The Wall across 961 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ekaterina Agureeva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 27, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Agureeva | Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Agureeva | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Agureeva | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 3.42 |
| ROI % | +18.8% | -14.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.94u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Agureeva | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BUL → ESP | MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carre has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Agureeva's 50%).
| Opponent | Agureeva | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Aya Akan | L 62 26 510 | W 64 76 |
| Kristina Kovgan | W 75 63 | W 67 62 105 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Onalee Wagner
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Maria Pares Bergnes De Las Casas
W15 Chisinau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Sophie Williams
W15 Chisinau · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Arina Bulatova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 4
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Ava Schueller
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Stefani Webb
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Charlotte Narti
W15 Nashville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Malwina Rowinska
W15 Nashville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ekaterina Agureeva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Gloria De Santis
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–18 matches
| Metric | Agureeva | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Agureeva | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Agureeva | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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