Egor Gerasimov vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พEgor Gerasimov
#1518 ยท 33 yrs ยท R
33w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ฎ๐นMatteo Covato
#742 ยท 21 yrs ยท R
14Egor Gerasimov and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2025; Egor Gerasimov leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Gerasimov has taken 2 sets to Covato's 0. Their most recent meeting: Egor Gerasimov won at Rennes (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gerasimov | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Egor Gerasimov | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 22% | 8/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 1/9 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 1/4 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/5 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gerasimov 1, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gerasimov
๐ค Servebot
Covato
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 7, 2025
Rennes
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Gerasimov | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0โ10 |
| Avg odds | - | 5.39 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -10.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gerasimov | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 3 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | โ | SUI โ GER โ NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Ostapenkov
M15 Hurghada 2 ยท 1st Round
Jan 14
Marko Miladinovic
M15 Hurghada 1 ยท 1st Round
Jan 7
Luca Preda
Hersonissos 5 ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Etienne Donnet
Saint-Tropez ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Maxime Janvier
Rennes Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 9
Cannon Kingsley
Rennes ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Matteo Covato
Rennes ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Hamish Stewart
Cassis ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 2
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa ยท 1st Round
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 9โ53 matches
| Metric | Gerasimov | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 22% | 32% |
| Sets won | 26% | 35% |
| Games won | 47% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gerasimov | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gerasimov | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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