Egor Agafonov vs Taiyo YamanakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Egor Agafonov and Taiyo Yamanaka have met 3 times since 2025; Egor Agafonov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Maanshan 8 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Agafonov leads 2–1. Across all meetings Agafonov has taken 4 sets to Yamanaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taiyo Yamanaka won at Phan Thiet 4 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Agafonov | Yamanaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Egor Agafonov | Taiyo Yamanaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 9/13 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 4/21 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 8/34 | 38% | 21/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 7% | 1/14 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 11/11 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 53% | 17/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Agafonov 2, Yamanaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Agafonov
👑 The Complete Package
Yamanaka
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Egor Agafonov.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12, 2025
M15 Maanshan 9
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 5, 2025
M15 Maanshan 8
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Agafonov | Yamanaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Egor Agafonov | Taiyo Yamanaka | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Agafonov | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.36 | 2.63 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxim Zhukov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 22
Taiyo Yamanaka
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Radu David Turcanu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Alec Deckers
Astana Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Daniil Ostapenkov
Astana Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Martin Borisiouk
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 6
Kacper Knitter
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Anton Shepp
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Max Purcell
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Yuta Tomida
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Ryuki Matsuda
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Egor Agafonov
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Timofei Derepasko
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–56 matches
| Metric | Agafonov | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 50% |
| Sets won | 39% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Agafonov | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Agafonov | Yamanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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