Eero Vasa vs Kaspar MathesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Meerbusch
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 2 · 5:05 AM ET
Book odds
Kaspar Mathes meets Eero Vasa in the first round of the M25 Meerbusch on September 2, a clay court event that marks their first career matchup. Mathes, ranked 2245, arrives on a two-match winning streak after competing twice in the past fortnight. Vasa, ranked 479, brings substantially more tour experience and recent momentum, though he dropped his most recent outing six days ago.
The two have not faced each other before. On clay over a recent sample, Vasa owns a 11-9 record at 55%, while Mathes stands at 3-6 for 33%. Both players defeated Agustin Fernandez Badia in recent outings. Vasa has won three of his last five matches; Mathes has won two of five.
Vasa is a big hitter who generates pace from the baseline. Mathes' profile remains less defined at this level. The ranking gap and clay record sample suggest Vasa brings more refined court presence, though Mathes carries recent momentum into the match. The clay surface will test both players' consistency and movement; Vasa's power game on the surface carries a different demand than the tactical precision clay often rewards.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vasa | Mathes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eero Vasa | Kaspar Mathes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 10/28 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 23/61 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 12/25 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 15/27 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 50% | 1/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Vasa and Mathes have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vasa | Mathes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eero Vasa | Kaspar Mathes | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vasa | Mathes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 6.04 |
| ROI % | -4.4% | -64.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | -3.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vasa | Mathes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → NED | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Vasa and Mathes posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Vasa | Mathes |
|---|---|---|
| Stan Put | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Verbeek
M25 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Iiro Vasa
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Michele Mecarelli
Todi Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Petr Nesterov
M25 Gentofte · Semifinals
Aug 1
Valdemar Frederik Pape
M25 Gentofte · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafael Ymer
M25 Gentofte · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maks Kasnikowski
Tampere Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Christian Wedel
M25 Meerbusch · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Daniil Ohorodnyk
M25 Meerbusch · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Stephan Iserath
M15 Allershausen · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Laurens Harnoth Manrubia
M25 Ueberlingen · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Robin Eldin
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Maxime Chazal
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Tim Hammes
M15 Frankfurt · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Luis Benner
M15 Frankfurt · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–61 matches
| Metric | Vasa | Mathes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 11% |
| Sets won | 52% | 20% |
| Games won | 51% | 38% |