Edward Winter vs Mikael ArseneaultPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Edward Winter and Mikael Arseneault have met 1 time since 2026; Mikael Arseneault leads 1–0. Across all meetings Winter has taken 1 sets to Arseneault's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mikael Arseneault won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Winter | Arseneault | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Edward Winter | Mikael Arseneault | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 8/25 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 17/46 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 9/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Winter 0, Arseneault 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Winter
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arseneault
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Edward Winter.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 20, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Winter | Arseneault | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Edward Winter | Mikael Arseneault | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 2/2 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 50% | 1/2 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Winter | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 4.10 |
| ROI % | -17.9% | +45.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | +1.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Winter | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Winter and Arseneault posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Winter | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Guillaume Dalmasso | L 46 67 | L 64 46 46 |
| Dan Martin | L 36 36 | W |
| Timo Legout | L 57 57 | L 36 36 |
| William Manning | W 63 64 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Keegan Smith
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Tristan Boyer
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Gonzalo Bueno
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
John Chin
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Aidan Kim
Kingston 1 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Steven Christie
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Matisse Farzam
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
James Kent Trotter
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Edward Winter
Winnipeg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Pavle Marinkov
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Guillaume Dalmasso
Granby Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Dan Martin
Granby Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Timo Legout
M25 Laval · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–46 matches
| Metric | Winter | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 56% |
| Sets won | 46% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Winter | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Winter | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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