Edas Butvilas vs Michael GeertsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Edas Butvilas and Michael Geerts have met 3 times since 2025; Edas Butvilas leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Manacor Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Butvilas leads 2–1. Across all meetings Butvilas has taken 4 sets to Geerts's 2. Their most recent meeting: Edas Butvilas won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Butvilas | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Edas Butvilas | Michael Geerts | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 14/33 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 30/74 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 19/46 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 16/24 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 38/47 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 25/47 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Butvilas 2, Geerts 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Butvilas
💥 Big Hitter
Geerts
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 16, 2026
New Delhi Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 27, 2025
Manacor Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Butvilas | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Edas Butvilas | Michael Geerts | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Butvilas | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–9 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -3.5% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | -1.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Butvilas | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 1,712 mi · 2,756 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | BUL → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Butvilas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Geerts's 20%).
| Opponent | Butvilas | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | W 36 76 64 | L 46 57 |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | L 46 63 36 | L 57 36 |
| Amit Vales | W 76 60 | W 75 46 62 |
| Felix Gill | L 46 57 | L 61 67 46 |
| Lloyd Harris | L 76 57 36 | L 16 76 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Hans Rehberg
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jerome Kym
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Michael Geerts
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Grigor Dimitrov
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Miomir Kecmanovic
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Edas Butvilas
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Joao Domingues
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Vladyslav Orlov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Radu Albot
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Billy Blaydes
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–74 matches
| Metric | Butvilas | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Butvilas | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Butvilas | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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