Edas Butvilas vs Luca PotenzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Edas Butvilas and Luca Potenza have met 2 times since 2025; Luca Potenza leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Villena Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Potenza leads 2–0. Potenza has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Butvilas has taken 1 sets to Potenza's 4. Their most recent meeting: Luca Potenza won at Manacor Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Butvilas | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Edas Butvilas | Luca Potenza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 14/33 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 30/74 | 40% | 23/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 19/46 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 16/24 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 38/47 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 25/47 | 52% | 16/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Butvilas 0, Potenza 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Butvilas
💥 Big Hitter
Potenza
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
Manacor Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 2, 2025
Villena Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Butvilas | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Edas Butvilas | Luca Potenza | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–9 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -3.5% | +24.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | +3.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Butvilas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Potenza's 33%).
| Opponent | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Moez Echargui | W 61 75 | L 76 46 36 |
| Gabriel Ghetu | W 75 62 | L 26 67 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | L 67 63 36 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Hans Rehberg
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jerome Kym
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Michael Geerts
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Grigor Dimitrov
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Miomir Kecmanovic
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Finn Bass
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–74 matches
| Metric | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 47% |
| Sets won | 54% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Butvilas | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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