Edas Butvilas vs Jan KumstatPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Olbia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 13 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.21 or longer, Jan Kumstat has won 5 of 14 (36%). That is level with the 36% the price implied.
At 1.62 or shorter, Edas Butvilas has won 32 of 54 (59%). The price implied 64%, so Edas Butvilas has fallen 5 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Edas Butvilas meets Jan Kumstat in the first round of the Olbia Challenger on October 13 on hard court. Butvilas, ranked 199, has lost his last two matches after playing four times in fourteen days. Kumstat sits at 191 and arrives with nine wins in his last ten matches, though he has not played in six weeks.
The two have never faced each other. Both players recently encountered Frederico Ferreira Silva on hard courts, with Kumstat defeating him while Butvilas lost. Butvilas has won 13 of 22 hard court matches in recent play, 65%, while Kumstat stands at 10-10 on the surface, 50%.
Butvilas relies on aggressive baseline power to dictate points early in rallies. Kumstat operates with the same heavy-hitting approach but brings far stronger recent momentum after his extended winning streak. The match will turn on which player imposes his pace more consistently and whether Kumstat's long layoff affects his timing against Butvilas's hard-hitting style.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Butvilas | Kumstat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Edas Butvilas | Jan Kumstat | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 26/42 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 14/33 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 30/75 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 19/46 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 17/25 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 26/48 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Butvilas
💥 Big Hitter
Kumstat
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Edas Butvilas and Jan Kumstat are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Butvilas and Kumstat have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Butvilas | Kumstat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Edas Butvilas | Jan Kumstat | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 75% | 15/20 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 40% | 8/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Butvilas | Kumstat |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–9 | 19–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | -3.5% | +43.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | +9.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Butvilas | Kumstat |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | — |
| Route | FRA → POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Butvilas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kumstat's 60%).
| Opponent | Butvilas | Kumstat |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Geerts | W 64 61 | L 67 16 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 62 62 | W 61 75 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | L 36 36 | W 64 75 |
| Henri Squire | W 76 36 60 | W 63 61 |
| Arthur Gea | W 64 36 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Hans Rehberg
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jerome Kym
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Michael Geerts
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Grigor Dimitrov
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Miomir Kecmanovic
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Juan Pablo Varillas
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Prague Challenger · Final
Aug 22
Filip Cristian Jianu
Prague Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Maxim Mrva
Prague Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sumit Nagal
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Petr Brunclik
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–75 matches
| Metric | Butvilas | Kumstat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 71% |
| Sets won | 54% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |