Duncan Chan vs Keaton HancePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Duncan Chan and Keaton Hance have met 1 time since 2026; Duncan Chan leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chan has taken 2 sets to Hance's 0. Their most recent meeting: Duncan Chan won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chan | Hance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Duncan Chan | Keaton Hance | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 8/16 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 2/11 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 10/27 | 20% | 7/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 21/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 81% | 17/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chan 1, Hance 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chan
🎾 All-Court
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chan | Hance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Duncan Chan | Keaton Hance | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chan | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 3.49 |
| ROI % | +7.6% | +22.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.84u | +1.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chan | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Chan and Hance posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Chan | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W | W 60 61 |
| Ryan Colby | W 62 46 62 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Keaton Hance
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Petak
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Dane Sweeny
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Shintaro Mochizuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Michael Antonius
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Andres Martin
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–35 matches
| Metric | Chan | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 60% |
| Sets won | 53% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chan | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chan | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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