Duje Markovina vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Duje Markovina
#1005 · 18 yrs · L
5w32 meetings · sets 0–4
🇧🇪Gilles Arnaud Bailly
#240 · 20 yrs · R
Duje Markovina and Gilles Arnaud Bailly have met 2 times since 2026; Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Futures 2026 in 2026 on hard. Bailly has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Markovina has taken 0 sets to Bailly's 4. Their most recent meeting: Gilles Arnaud Bailly won at M25 Varnamo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Markovina | Arnaud Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Duje Markovina | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 8/17 | 74% | 28/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 14/38 | 35% | 24/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 13/26 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 81% | 34/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 8/16 | 67% | 28/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Markovina 0, Arnaud Bailly 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Markovina
💥 Big Hitter
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Duje Markovina.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2026
M25 Varnamo
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 10, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Markovina | Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Duje Markovina | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Markovina | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 3–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +25.0% | -66.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.00u | -7.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Markovina | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | BEL → CZE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bailly has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Markovina's 0%).
| Opponent | Markovina | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Taym Alazmeh | L 57 67 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ymerali Ibraimi
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jake Delaney
M15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 25
Chase Ferguson
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Blake Ellis
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ashton Mcleod
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jake Delaney
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 15
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Zagreb · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Jan Kumstat
M25 Zagreb · 1st Round
Jun 23
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fadi Bidan
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mac Visser
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Zaccharie Cado
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 11
Samuele Pieri
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hynek Barton
Tampere Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Elahi Galan
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–68 matches
| Metric | Markovina | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 56% |
| Sets won | 43% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Markovina | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Markovina | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.