Donna Vekic vs Mariia TkachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
441 meeting · sets 2–0
🇷🇺Mariia Tkacheva
#721 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Donna Vekic and Mariia Tkacheva have met 1 time since 2026; Donna Vekic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 2 sets to Tkacheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Donna Vekic won at Philippine Women's Open - Manila (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Tkacheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Mariia Tkacheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 18/22 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 92% | 12/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 1, Tkacheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
💥 Big Hitter
Tkacheva
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 28, 2026
Philippine Women's Open - Manila
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -58.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.93u | -2.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,709 mi · 2,751 km | — |
| Route | CAN → AUT | KAZ → BIH |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Ashlyn Krueger
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alexandra Eala
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 17
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Dune Vaissaud
W15 Hurghada · Semifinals
Aug 29
Katarina Kujovic
W15 Hurghada · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Andrea Lola Popovic
W15 Hurghada · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Soha Sadiq
W15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Aug 26
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Aleksandra Khomitskaya
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 12
Anastasia Zakharova
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 14
Donna Vekic
Philippine Women's Open - Manila · 2nd Round
Jan 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–40 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 67% |
| Sets won | 56% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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