Dominik Recek vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominik Recek and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2026; Dominik Recek leads 1–0. Across all meetings Recek has taken 2 sets to Castagnola's 0. Their most recent meeting: Dominik Recek won at M25 Kassel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Recek | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominik Recek | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/15 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 7/35 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 6/9 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 15/16 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 94% | 15/16 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Recek 1, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Recek
🛡️ The Spoiler
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
M25 Kassel
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Recek | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dominik Recek | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Recek | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 12–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +31.7% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.80u | -0.97u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Recek | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | GER | GER → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Recek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Castagnola's 33%).
| Opponent | Recek | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Chepelev | W 63 75 | L 46 46 |
| Jack Karlsson Wistrand | W 63 75 | W 36 75 76 |
| Federico Iannaccone | L 36 36 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diego Dedura
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Wagner
M25 Kramsach · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Wiskandt
M25 Kassel · Semifinals
Jul 11
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Kassel · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Iannis Miletich
M25 Kassel · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Luca Castagnola
M25 Kassel · 1st Round
Jul 8
Armin Trklja
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Tarek Erlewein
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–62 matches
| Metric | Recek | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 44% |
| Sets won | 55% | 45% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Recek | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Recek | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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