Dmitry Popko vs Orlando LuzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dmitry Popko and Orlando Luz have met 4 times since 2019; Dmitry Popko leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cordenons in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Popko leads 3–1. Popko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Popko has taken 6 sets to Luz's 3. Their most recent meeting: Dmitry Popko won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popko | Luz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dmitry Popko | Orlando Luz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 29/37 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 12/18 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 11/11 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 34/37 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 100% | 4/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popko 2, Luz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popko
🪃 Counterpuncher
Luz
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Orlando Luz.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 9, 2024
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 17, 2021
Verona Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 20, 2021
Tampere Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 7, 2019
Cordenons
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popko | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 7.39 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | +240.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.08u | +7.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Telavi · Final
Oct 3
Matic Dimic
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Oct 2
Alessio Basile
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Oct 1
Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 30
David Tixhon
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 29
Michele Mecarelli
M15 Telavi · Final
Sep 27
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Sep 26
Ignacio Monzon
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Clement Tabur
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Norbert Gombos
Braunschweig Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Gauthier Onclin
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Henrique Rocha
BCI Seguros Chile Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 21
Pedro Sakamoto
Florianopolis Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–53 matches
| Metric | Popko | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 45% |
| Sets won | 68% | 46% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popko | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popko | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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