Dmitry Popko vs Mateo CastañedaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dmitry Popko and Mateo Castañeda have met 1 time since 2026; Dmitry Popko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Popko has taken 2 sets to Castañeda's 0. Their most recent meeting: Dmitry Popko won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popko | Castañeda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dmitry Popko | Mateo Castañeda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 29/37 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 12/18 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 11/11 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 34/37 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popko 1, Castañeda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popko
🪃 Counterpuncher
Castañeda
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 115 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | - |
| ROI % | -0.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.08u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Telavi · Final
Oct 3
Matic Dimic
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Oct 2
Alessio Basile
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Oct 1
Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 30
David Tixhon
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 29
Michele Mecarelli
M15 Telavi · Final
Sep 27
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Sep 26
Ignacio Monzon
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Dmitry Popko
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Jesse Flores
Bogota (Los Lagartos) · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 23
Santiago Lora
M25 Cochabamba 1 · 1st Round
Nov 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Ibague 1 · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Michael Beltran Rubio
M15 Ibague 1 · 1st Round
Oct 28
Juan Bautista Torres
Cali · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Salvador Price
M25 Londrina 1 · 1st Round
Sep 16
Joshua Sheehy
Barranquilla · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–53 matches
| Metric | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 20% |
| Sets won | 68% | 27% |
| Games won | 56% | 39% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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