Dmitry Popko vs Mateo CastañedaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dmitry Popko and Mateo Castañeda have met 1 time since 2026; Dmitry Popko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Popko has taken 2 sets to Castañeda's 0. Their most recent meeting: Dmitry Popko won at Bogotá 5 challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popko | Castañeda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dmitry Popko | Mateo Castañeda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 13/37 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popko 1, Castañeda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popko
🪃 Counterpuncher
Castañeda
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dmitry Popko.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Bogotá 5 challenger
C Clay
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 10.91 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.36u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Popko and Castañeda posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar | W 61 60 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 29
Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Edouard Villoslada
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Egor Khotchenkov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Dmitry Popko
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 5
Jesse Flores
Bogota (Los Lagartos) · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 23
Santiago Lora
M25 Cochabamba 1 · 1st Round
Nov 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Ibague 1 · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Michael Alejandro Beltran Rubio
M15 Ibague · Round of 32
Oct 29
Michael Beltran Rubio
M15 Ibague 1 · 1st Round
Oct 28
Juan Bautista Torres
Cali · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Salvador Price
M25 Londrina 1 · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–37 matches
| Metric | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 14% |
| Sets won | 55% | 20% |
| Games won | 51% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popko | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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