Diogo Marques vs Hugo MaiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Diogo Marques and Hugo Maia have met 1 time since 2026; Diogo Marques leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marques has taken 2 sets to Maia's 0. Their most recent meeting: Diogo Marques won at M15 Sanxenxo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marques | Maia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diogo Marques | Hugo Maia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 11/25 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marques 1, Maia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marques
🎯 Baseliner
Maia
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 26 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Diogo Marques.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
M15 Sanxenxo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marques | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 4.72 | 10.78 |
| ROI % | -9.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.58u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marques has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maia's 50%).
| Opponent | Marques | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Anton Ruibal | W 60 62 | W 62 63 |
| Tomas Curras Abasolo | W 36 76 64 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleksii Krutykh
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Sergio Callejon Hernando
M15 Pontevedra · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Xavi Palomar
M15 Pontevedra · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oscar Weightman
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pedro Anton Ruibal
M15 Pontevedra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cabrera Perez
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Finn Murgett
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Lourenco Correia
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Javier Barranco Cosano
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 5
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 5
Alexandre Reco
M25 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Apr 29
Diogo Marques
M15 Sanxenxo · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Guillaume Dalmasso
M15 Sanxenxo · 1st Round
Apr 22
Guilherme Valdoleiros
M15 Sanxenxo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Andres Ariel Fernandez Lopez
M15 Sanxenxo · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–25 matches
| Metric | Marques | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 28% | 44% |
| Sets won | 38% | 44% |
| Games won | 45% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marques | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marques | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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