Diogo Marques vs Finn MurgettPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Diogo Marques and Finn Murgett have met 2 times since 2026; Finn Murgett leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Sintra in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Murgett leads 2–0. Murgett has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Marques has taken 1 sets to Murgett's 4. Their most recent meeting: Finn Murgett won at M25 Setubal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marques | Murgett | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diogo Marques | Finn Murgett | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 11/25 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marques 0, Murgett 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marques
🎯 Baseliner
Murgett
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 354 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Diogo Marques.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2026
M25 Setubal
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 9, 2026
M25 Sintra
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marques | Murgett | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diogo Marques | Finn Murgett | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marques | Murgett |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 4.72 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -9.6% | +7.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.58u | +0.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Marques and Murgett posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Marques | Murgett |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Anton Ruibal | W 60 62 | W 64 61 |
| Goncalo Marques | L 36 64 26 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleksii Krutykh
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Sergio Callejon Hernando
M15 Pontevedra · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Xavi Palomar
M15 Pontevedra · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oscar Weightman
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pedro Anton Ruibal
M15 Pontevedra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cabrera Perez
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Finn Murgett
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M25 Sintra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Jakub Filip
M15 Heraklion · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Diogo Marques
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Pablo Martin Weinberg
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Miguel Semedo
M25 Setubal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–52 matches
| Metric | Marques | Murgett |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 28% | 58% |
| Sets won | 38% | 57% |
| Games won | 45% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marques | Murgett |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marques | Murgett |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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