Diletta Cherubini vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco GonzalezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Queretaro Open - Queretaro
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 27 · 1:00 PM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.72 or shorter, Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez has won 9 of 11 (82%). The price implied 64%, so Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez has beaten it by 18 points.
At 2.00 or longer, Diletta Cherubini has won 8 of 21 (38%). That is level with the 38% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Diletta Cherubini meets Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez in the first round of the Queretaro Open on October 27, a clay-court event in Mexico that will test both players' consistency on the surface. Cherubini sits at number 397 in the rankings while Reasco Gonzalez checks in at 355, separating two competitors in the lower reaches of the tour.
The head-to-head record stands at 1-0 in favor of Diletta Cherubini from their single prior meeting. Both players have struggled in recent weeks, each winning two of their last five matches and both on a one-match losing streak coming into Queretaro. Each has played three matches in the past 14 days.
On clay, Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez has compiled a 12-8 record in recent play, while Diletta Cherubini sits at 8-12 on the surface. Both rely on reactive tennis, waiting for opponents to make errors and capitalizing from the baseline rather than imposing pace early. The match will hinge on which player can better manage the slower court and force the other into extended rallies.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cherubini | Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diletta Cherubini | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 15/23 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 8/33 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/56 | 29% | 19/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 12/31 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cherubini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gonzalez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Diletta Cherubini and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 15,536 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Cherubini and Gonzalez have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cherubini | Gonzalez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diletta Cherubini | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | ||
| 1 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cherubini | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–11 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 4.34 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | +1.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.22u | +0.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cherubini | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 5 | 4 |
| Events | 5 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → BEL → RSA → SWE → SVK | BEL → RSA → HUN → SVK |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gonzalez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Cherubini's 50%).
| Opponent | Cherubini | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Natalie Kha | W 61 63 | W 63 61 |
| Gina Feistel | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Valeriya Strakhova | L 16 26 | W 36 75 75 |
| Misa Malkin | W 60 64 | W 60 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Connie Ma
W35 Bakersfield · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Bakersfield · 1st Round
Oct 21
Christasha Mcneil
W35 Redding · 1st Round
Oct 14
Emma Kamper
W35 Las Vegas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Thea Frodin
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Natalie Kha
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Natalie Kha
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Maria Aytoyan
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Madison Brengle
W50 Austin · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Sofia Johnson
W50 Austin · 1st Round
Oct 20
Jo Yee Chan
W35 Redding · 1st Round
Oct 13
Francesca Pace
W35 Las Vegas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Kristina Penickova
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Maria Sholokhova
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Dalila Spiteri
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Katie Swan
W50 Evora · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–66 matches
| Metric | Cherubini | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 55% |
| Sets won | 42% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |